{"id":1073820,"date":"2024-06-21T14:05:47","date_gmt":"2024-06-21T21:05:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/?post_type=msr-blog-post&#038;p=1073820"},"modified":"2024-09-25T04:21:09","modified_gmt":"2024-09-25T11:21:09","slug":"aurora","status":"publish","type":"msr-blog-post","link":"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/articles\/aurora\/","title":{"rendered":"AI\u8d4b\u80fd\u5929\u6c14\uff1a\u5fae\u8f6f\u7814\u7a76\u9662\u53d1\u5e03\u9996\u4e2a\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u5927\u6c14\u57fa\u7840\u6a21\u578bAurora"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>\u7f16\u8005\u6309\uff1a\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u65e5\u76ca\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u9ad8\u6e29\u3001\u6d2a\u6c34\u3001\u5e72\u65f1\uff0c\u9891\u7387\u548c\u5f3a\u5ea6\u4e0d\u65ad\u589e\u52a0\u7684\u5168\u7403\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u7ed9\u6574\u4e2a\u4eba\u7c7b\u793e\u4f1a\u90fd\u5e26\u6765\u4e86\u96be\u4ee5\u4f30\u8ba1\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u8fd9\u7ed9\u73b0\u6709\u7684\u5929\u6c14\u9884\u6d4b\u6a21\u578b\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u8981\u6c42\u2014\u2014\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6a21\u578b\u8981\u66f4\u51c6\u786e\u5730\u9884\u6d4b\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u4e3a\u653f\u5e9c\u3001\u4f01\u4e1a\u548c\u516c\u4f17\u63d0\u4f9b\u66f4\u53ef\u9760\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fbf\u505a\u51fa\u53ca\u65f6\u7684\u51c6\u5907\u548c\u54cd\u5e94\u3002\u4e3a\u4e86\u5e94\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e00\u6311\u6218\uff0c\u5fae\u8f6f\u7814\u7a76\u9662\u5f00\u53d1\u4e86\u9996\u4e2a\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u5927\u6c14\u57fa\u7840\u6a21\u578b Aurora\uff0c\u5176\u8d85\u9ad8\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u51c6\u786e\u7387\u3001\u6548\u7387\u53ca\u8ba1\u7b97\u901f\u5ea6\uff0c\u5b9e\u73b0\u4e86\u76ee\u524d\u6700\u5148\u8fdb\u5929\u6c14\u9884\u6d4b\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u80fd\u7684\u663e\u8457\u63d0\u5347\u3002Aurora \u4e0d\u4ec5\u5728\u9884\u6d4b\u6280\u672f\u4e0a\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u91cd\u5927\u7a81\u7834\uff0c\u66f4\u5728\u5e94\u7528\u5c42\u9762\u5c55\u73b0\u51fa\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u6f5c\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/NEW_Aurora-2024-BlogHeroFeature-1400x788-1-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"satellite image of Storm Ciar\u00e1n\" class=\"wp-image-1041021\" srcset=\"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/NEW_Aurora-2024-BlogHeroFeature-1400x788-1-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/NEW_Aurora-2024-BlogHeroFeature-1400x788-1-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/NEW_Aurora-2024-BlogHeroFeature-1400x788-1-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/NEW_Aurora-2024-BlogHeroFeature-1400x788-1-1066x600.jpg 1066w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/NEW_Aurora-2024-BlogHeroFeature-1400x788-1-655x368.jpg 655w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/NEW_Aurora-2024-BlogHeroFeature-1400x788-1-240x135.jpg 240w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/NEW_Aurora-2024-BlogHeroFeature-1400x788-1-640x360.jpg 640w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/NEW_Aurora-2024-BlogHeroFeature-1400x788-1-960x540.jpg 960w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/NEW_Aurora-2024-BlogHeroFeature-1400x788-1-1280x720.jpg 1280w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/NEW_Aurora-2024-BlogHeroFeature-1400x788-1.jpg 1400w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>2023\u5e7411\u6708\uff0c\u98ce\u66b4\u201c\u590f\u5170\u201d\u5e2d\u5377\u4e86\u6b27\u6d32\u897f\u5317\u90e8\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u4e86\u4e25\u91cd\u7834\u574f\uff0c\u4f34\u968f\u800c\u6765\u7684\u4f4e\u538b\u7cfb\u7edf\u5237\u65b0\u4e86\u82f1\u683c\u5170\u7684\u8bb0\u5f55\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u6781\u4e3a\u7f55\u89c1\u7684\u6c14\u8c61\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002\u8fd9\u573a\u98ce\u66b4\u7684\u731b\u70c8\u7a0b\u5ea6\u8ba9\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\u63aa\u624b\u4e0d\u53ca\uff0c\u5728\u66b4\u9732\u5f53\u524d\u5929\u6c14\u9884\u6d4b\u6a21\u578b\u4e0d\u8db3\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4e5f\u51f8\u663e\u4e86\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u65e5\u76ca\u52a0\u5267\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u63d0\u5347\u6c14\u5019\u9884\u6d4b\u51c6\u786e\u6027\u7684\u8feb\u5207\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5982\u4f55\u624d\u80fd\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u9884\u6d4b\u6b64\u7c7b\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u5e76\u505a\u597d\u66f4\u4e3a\u5145\u5206\u7684\u51c6\u5907\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Charlton-Perez \u7b49\u4eba\uff082024\u5e74\uff09\u8fd1\u671f\u7684\u4e00\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf\u662f\u76ee\u524d\u6700\u5148\u8fdb\u7684\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u5929\u6c14\u9884\u6d4b\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5728\u51c6\u786e\u6355\u6349\u98ce\u66b4\u201c\u590f\u5170\u201d\u7684\u5feb\u901f\u589e\u5f3a\u8fc7\u7a0b\u53ca\u5176\u5cf0\u503c\u98ce\u901f\u65b9\u9762\u4e5f\u9762\u4e34\u7740\u6311\u6218\u3002\u4e3a\u5e94\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6311\u6218\uff0c\u5fae\u8f6f\u7814\u7a76\u9662\u5f00\u53d1\u4e86\u5148\u8fdb\u7684\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u57fa\u7840\u6a21\u578b Aurora\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u4ece\u6d77\u91cf\u7684\u5927\u6c14\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u6d1e\u5bdf\u5230\u6709\u4ef7\u503c\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u3002Aurora \u6240\u5c55\u793a\u51fa\u7684\u521b\u65b0\u5929\u6c14\u9884\u6d4b\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u6709\u671b\u663e\u8457\u63d0\u5347\u4eba\u4eec\u9884\u6d4b\u5e76\u51cf\u8f7b\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u4e8b\u4ef6\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5bf9\u98ce\u66b4\u201c\u590f\u5170\u201d\u8fd9\u7c7b\u6076\u52a3\u5929\u6c14\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u6025\u5267\u6076\u5316\u8fdb\u884c\u9884\u6d4b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Aurora \u8bba\u6587\uff1a<a href=\"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/publication\/aurora-a-foundation-model-of-the-atmosphere\/\">Aurora: A Foundation Model of the Atmosphere<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"\u7075\u6d3b\u7684\u5927\u6c14\u4e09\u7ef4\u57fa\u7840\u6a21\u578b\">\u7075\u6d3b\u7684\u5927\u6c14\u4e09\u7ef4\u57fa\u7840\u6a21\u578b<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Aurora \u7684\u6709\u6548\u6027\u5728\u4e8e\u5b83\u7ecf\u8fc7\u4e86\u8d85\u4e00\u767e\u4e07\u5c0f\u65f6\u7684\u591a\u6837\u5316\u5929\u6c14\u548c\u6c14\u5019\u6a21\u62df\u7684\u8bad\u7ec3\uff0c\u80fd\u591f\u5168\u9762\u4e86\u89e3\u5927\u6c14\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u3002\u8fd9\u4f7f\u5f97\u8be5\u6a21\u578b\u5728\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u4efb\u52a1\u4e2d\u90fd\u8868\u73b0\u51fa\u8272\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u5728\u6570\u636e\u7a00\u758f\u7684\u5730\u533a\u6216\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u4e5f\u80fd\u5982\u6b64\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u4ee50.1\u00b0\uff08\u8d64\u9053\u5904\u7ea611\u516c\u91cc\uff09\u7684\u9ad8\u7a7a\u95f4\u5206\u8fa8\u7387\u8fd0\u884c\uff0cAurora \u53ef\u4ee5\u6355\u6349\u5927\u6c14\u8fc7\u7a0b\u7684\u590d\u6742\u7ec6\u8282\uff0c\u63d0\u4f9b\u6bd4\u4ee5\u5f80\u66f4\u51c6\u786e\u7684\u9884\u62a5\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u5176\u8ba1\u7b97\u6210\u672c\u4ec5\u4e3a\u4f20\u7edf\u6570\u503c\u5929\u6c14\u9884\u62a5\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u4e00\u5c0f\u90e8\u5206\u3002\u636e\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0cAurora \u76f8\u8f83\u4e8e\u6700\u5148\u8fdb\u7684\u6570\u503c\u9884\u62a5\u7cfb\u7edf\uff08Integrated Forecasting System, IFS\uff09\u53ef\u63d0\u5347\u7ea65000\u500d\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u901f\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Aurora \u4e0d\u4ec5\u62e5\u6709\u6781\u9ad8\u7684\u9884\u62a5\u51c6\u786e\u6027\u548c\u6548\u7387\uff0c\u8fd8\u5177\u6709\u591a\u529f\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u9884\u6d4b\u5404\u79cd\u5927\u6c14\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c\u4ece\u6e29\u5ea6\u548c\u98ce\u901f\u5230\u7a7a\u6c14\u6c61\u67d3\u6c34\u5e73\u548c\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6d53\u5ea6\u3002Aurora \u7684\u67b6\u6784\u65e8\u5728\u5904\u7406\u5f02\u6784\u7684\u9ec4\u91d1\u6807\u51c6\u8f93\u5165\uff0c\u5e76\u4ee5\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u5206\u8fa8\u7387\u548c\u4fdd\u771f\u5ea6\u751f\u6210\u9884\u6d4b\u3002\u8be5\u6a21\u578b\u7531\u4e00\u4e2a\u7075\u6d3b\u7684 3D Swin Transformer \u548c\u57fa\u4e8e Perceiver \u7684\u7f16\u7801\u5668\u548c\u89e3\u7801\u5668\u7ec4\u6210\uff0c\u4f7f\u5176\u80fd\u591f\u5904\u7406\u548c\u9884\u6d4b\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u8de8\u7a7a\u95f4\u548c\u538b\u529b\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u5927\u6c14\u53d8\u91cf\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u5bf9\u5927\u91cf\u591a\u6837\u5316\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u884c\u9884\u8bad\u7ec3\u5e76\u9488\u5bf9\u7279\u5b9a\u4efb\u52a1\u8fdb\u884c\u5fae\u8c03\uff0cAurora \u5b66\u4f1a\u4e86\u6355\u6349\u5927\u6c14\u4e2d\u7684\u590d\u6742\u6a21\u5f0f\u548c\u7ed3\u6784\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u5728\u6709\u9650\u7684\u8bad\u7ec3\u6570\u636e\u4e0b\u5bf9\u7279\u5b9a\u4efb\u52a1\u8fdb\u884c\u5fae\u8c03\u65f6\uff0c\u5b83\u4ecd\u7136\u80fd\u6709\u51fa\u8272\u7684\u8868\u73b0\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1400\" height=\"638\" src=\"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Aurora-forecasting-model_Fig1_1400px.png\" alt=\"Aurora forecasting model diagram, schematic\" class=\"wp-image-1073823\" srcset=\"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Aurora-forecasting-model_Fig1_1400px.png 1400w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Aurora-forecasting-model_Fig1_1400px-300x137.png 300w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Aurora-forecasting-model_Fig1_1400px-1024x467.png 1024w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Aurora-forecasting-model_Fig1_1400px-768x350.png 768w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Aurora-forecasting-model_Fig1_1400px-240x109.png 240w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1400px) 100vw, 1400px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\u56fe1\uff1aAurora \u67b6\u6784<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"\u5927\u6c14\u5316\u5b66\u548c\u7a7a\u6c14\u6c61\u67d3\u7684\u5feb\u901f\u9884\u6d4b\">\u5927\u6c14\u5316\u5b66\u548c\u7a7a\u6c14\u6c61\u67d3\u7684\u5feb\u901f\u9884\u6d4b<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Aurora \u591a\u529f\u80fd\u6027\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u5178\u578b\u4f8b\u5b50\u662f\u5176\u80fd\u591f\u5229\u7528\u54e5\u767d\u5c3c\u5927\u6c14\u76d1\u6d4b\u670d\u52a1\uff08CAMS\uff09\u7684\u6570\u636e\u9884\u6d4b\u7a7a\u6c14\u6c61\u67d3\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u9879\u4f17\u6240\u5468\u77e5\u7684\u8270\u5de8\u4efb\u52a1\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5927\u6c14\u5316\u5b66\u3001\u5929\u6c14\u6a21\u5f0f\u548c\u4eba\u7c7b\u6d3b\u52a8\u4e4b\u95f4\u590d\u6742\u7684\u76f8\u4e92\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca CAMS \u6570\u636e\u7684\u9ad8\u5ea6\u5f02\u6784\u6027\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u5229\u7528\u7075\u6d3b\u7684\u7f16\u7801\u5668-\u89e3\u7801\u5668\u67b6\u6784\u548c\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u673a\u5236\uff0cAurora \u53ef\u4ee5\u6709\u6548\u5904\u7406\u5e76\u5b66\u4e60\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5177\u6709\u6311\u6218\u6027\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u6355\u6349\u7a7a\u6c14\u6c61\u67d3\u7269\u7684\u72ec\u7279\u7279\u5f81\u53ca\u5176\u4e0e\u6c14\u8c61\u53d8\u91cf\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u3002\u8fd9\u4f7f\u5f97 Aurora \u80fd\u591f\u57280.4\u00b0\u7684\u7a7a\u95f4\u5206\u8fa8\u7387\u4e0b\u751f\u6210\u7cbe\u786e\u7684\u4e94\u5929\u5168\u7403\u7a7a\u6c14\u6c61\u67d3\u9884\u62a5\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u6240\u6709\u76ee\u6807\u768474%\u4e2d\u8d85\u8d8a\u4e86\u6700\u5148\u8fdb\u7684\u5927\u6c14\u5316\u5b66\u6a21\u62df\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u8bc1\u660e\u4e86 Aurora \u5728\u89e3\u51b3\u5404\u79cd\u73af\u5883\u9884\u6d4b\u95ee\u9898\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u9ad8\u5ea6\u9002\u5e94\u6027\u548c\u5de8\u5927\u6f5c\u529b\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u5728\u6570\u636e\u7a00\u7f3a\u6216\u9ad8\u5ea6\u590d\u6742\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u4e5f\u662f\u5982\u6b64\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"858\" height=\"610\" src=\"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/AURORA_Fig2.jpg\" alt=\"Figure 2: Aurora outperforms operational CAMS across many targets. (a) Sample predictions for total column nitrogen dioxide by Aurora compared to CAMS analysis. Aurora was initialized with CAMS analysis at 1 Sep 2022 00 UTC. Predicting atmospheric gases correctly is extremely challenging due to their spatially heterogeneous nature. In particular, nitrogen dioxide, like most variables in CAMS, is skewed toward high values in areas with large anthropogenic emissions, such as densely populated areas in East Asia. In addition, it exhibits a strong diurnal cycle; e.g., sunlight reduces background levels via a process called photolysis. Aurora accurately captures both the extremes and background levels. (b) Latitude-weighted root mean square error (RMSE) of Aurora relative to CAMS, where negative values (blue) mean that Aurora is better. The RMSEs are computed over the period Jun 2022 to Nov 2022 inclusive. Aurora matches or outperforms CAMS on 74% of the targets.\" class=\"wp-image-1042059\" srcset=\"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/AURORA_Fig2.jpg 858w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/AURORA_Fig2-300x213.jpg 300w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/AURORA_Fig2-768x546.jpg 768w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/AURORA_Fig2-240x171.jpg 240w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 858px) 100vw, 858px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>\u56fe2\uff1aAurora \u5728\u8bb8\u591a\u76ee\u6807\u4e0a\u7684\u8868\u73b0\u90fd\u4f18\u4e8e\u73b0\u884c\u7684 CAMS\uff1a(a) Aurora \u5bf9\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u6c2e\u67f1\u603b\u91cf\u7684\u6837\u672c\u9884\u6d4b\u4e0e CAMS \u7684\u5206\u6790\u6bd4\u8f83\uff1b(b) Aurora \u76f8\u5bf9\u4e8e CAMS \u7684\u7eac\u5ea6\u52a0\u6743\u5747\u65b9\u6839\u8bef\u5dee\uff08RMSE\uff09\uff0c\u8d1f\u503c\uff08\u84dd\u8272\uff09\u8868\u793a Aurora \u7684\u8868\u73b0\u66f4\u4f73<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"\u5229\u7528\u6570\u636e\u591a\u6837\u6027\u4e0e\u6a21\u578b\u7f29\u653e\u6539\u5584\u5927\u6c14\u9884\u6d4b\">\u5229\u7528\u6570\u636e\u591a\u6837\u6027\u4e0e\u6a21\u578b\u7f29\u653e\u6539\u5584\u5927\u6c14\u9884\u6d4b<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8be5\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u53d1\u73b0\u4e4b\u4e00\u662f\uff0c\u4e0e\u5728\u5355\u4e00\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u4e0a\u7684\u8bad\u7ec3\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u5728\u591a\u6837\u5316\u7684\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u4e0a\u8fdb\u884c\u9884\u8bad\u7ec3\u53ef\u4ee5\u663e\u8457\u63d0\u5347 Aurora \u7684\u6027\u80fd\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u6574\u5408\u6c14\u5019\u6a21\u62df\u3001\u518d\u5206\u6790\u4ea7\u54c1\u53ca\u4e1a\u52a1\u9884\u62a5\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0cAurora \u80fd\u591f\u5b66\u4e60\u5230\u66f4\u5f3a\u5927\u3001\u66f4\u901a\u7528\u7684\u5927\u6c14\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u8868\u5f81\u3002\u5f97\u76ca\u4e8e\u5e9e\u5927\u7684\u89c4\u6a21\u548c\u591a\u6837\u5316\u7684\u9884\u8bad\u7ec3\u6570\u636e\uff0cAurora \u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u5404\u79cd\u4efb\u52a1\u548c\u5206\u8fa8\u7387\u4e0a\uff0c\u8d85\u8d8a\u76ee\u524d\u6700\u5148\u8fdb\u7684\u6570\u503c\u5929\u6c14\u9884\u62a5\u6a21\u578b\u548c\u4e13\u4e1a\u7684\u6df1\u5ea6\u5b66\u4e60\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1400\" height=\"445\" src=\"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/aurora-4-1.png\" alt=\"Aurora forecasting model - variables bar chart (4a)\" class=\"wp-image-1073835\" srcset=\"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/aurora-4-1.png 1400w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/aurora-4-1-300x95.png 300w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/aurora-4-1-1024x325.png 1024w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/aurora-4-1-768x244.png 768w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/aurora-4-1-240x76.png 240w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1400px) 100vw, 1400px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1400\" height=\"391\" src=\"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/aurora-4-2.png\" alt=\"Aurora forecasting model - threshold charts (4b)\" class=\"wp-image-1073838\" srcset=\"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/aurora-4-2.png 1400w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/aurora-4-2-300x84.png 300w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/aurora-4-2-1024x286.png 1024w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/aurora-4-2-768x214.png 768w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/aurora-4-2-240x67.png 240w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1400px) 100vw, 1400px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1400\" height=\"385\" src=\"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/aurora-4-3.png\" alt=\"Aurora forecasting model - HRES line charts (4c)\" class=\"wp-image-1073841\" srcset=\"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/aurora-4-3.png 1400w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/aurora-4-3-300x83.png 300w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/aurora-4-3-1024x282.png 1024w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/aurora-4-3-768x211.png 768w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/aurora-4-3-240x66.png 240w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1400px) 100vw, 1400px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>\u56fe3\uff1a\u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u6570\u636e\u4e0a\u8fdb\u884c\u9884\u8bad\u7ec3\u5e76\u6269\u5927\u6a21\u578b\u89c4\u6a21\u5747\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u63d0\u5347\u6027\u80fd<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Aurora \u6a21\u578b\u7684\u89c4\u6a21\u5316\u76f4\u63a5\u5e26\u6765\u4e86\u5728\u67b6\u6784\u8bbe\u8ba1\u3001\u8bad\u7ec3\u6570\u636e\u8bed\u6599\u5e93\u4ee5\u53ca\u9884\u8bad\u7ec3\u548c\u5fae\u8c03\u534f\u8bae\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u6027\u80fd\u4f18\u52bf\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97 Aurora \u7684\u6027\u80fd\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86\u73b0\u6709\u7684\u4e13\u4e1a\u6df1\u5ea6\u5b66\u4e60\u6a21\u578b\u3002\u4e3a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u9a8c\u8bc1\u5728\u591a\u4e2a\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u4e0a\u9884\u8bad\u7ec3\u5927\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u4f18\u52bf\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u4eec\u5c06 Aurora \u4e0e GraphCast \u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u6bd4\u8f83\uff0c\u540e\u8005\u4ec5\u5728 ERA5 \u4e0a\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u9884\u8bad\u7ec3\uff0c\u5e76\u88ab\u8ba4\u4e3a\u662f\u5206\u8fa8\u7387\u4e3a0.25\u00b0\u3001\u4ea4\u4ed8\u65f6\u95f4\u957f\u8fbe\u4e94\u5929\u7684\u6700\u5148\u8fdb\u7684\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u6a21\u578b\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u4eec\u8fd8\u5c06 IFS HRES\uff08\u6570\u503c\u5929\u6c14\u9884\u62a5\u7684\u9ec4\u91d1\u6807\u51c6\uff09\u4e5f\u7eb3\u5165\u4e86\u6bd4\u8f83\u8303\u56f4\u3002\u7ed3\u679c\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u65e0\u8bba\u662f\u5728\u4e0e\u6c14\u8c61\u5206\u6790\u3001\u6c14\u8c61\u7ad9\u89c2\u6d4b\u6570\u636e\u8fd8\u662f\u6781\u7aef\u503c\u7684\u5bf9\u6bd4\u4e2d\uff0cAurora \u7684\u8868\u73b0\u5747\u4f18\u4e8e GraphCast \u548c IFS HRES\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1400\" height=\"394\" src=\"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/aurora-5-1.png\" alt=\"Aurora forecasting model - Pressure charts (5a)\" class=\"wp-image-1073844\" srcset=\"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/aurora-5-1.png 1400w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/aurora-5-1-300x84.png 300w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/aurora-5-1-1024x288.png 1024w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/aurora-5-1-768x216.png 768w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/aurora-5-1-240x68.png 240w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1400px) 100vw, 1400px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1393\" height=\"479\" src=\"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/aurora-5-2.png\" alt=\"Aurora forecasting model - WS RMSE charts (5b)\" class=\"wp-image-1073847\" srcset=\"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/aurora-5-2.png 1393w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/aurora-5-2-300x103.png 300w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/aurora-5-2-1024x352.png 1024w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/aurora-5-2-768x264.png 768w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/aurora-5-2-240x83.png 240w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1393px) 100vw, 1393px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1407\" height=\"627\" src=\"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/aurora-5-3.png\" alt=\"Aurora forecasting model - RMSE charts (5C)\" class=\"wp-image-1073832\" srcset=\"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/aurora-5-3.png 1407w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/aurora-5-3-300x134.png 300w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/aurora-5-3-1024x456.png 1024w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/aurora-5-3-768x342.png 768w, https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/aurora-5-3-240x107.png 240w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1407px) 100vw, 1407px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\u56fe4\uff1a\u5728\u7edd\u5927\u591a\u6570\u76ee\u6807\u4e0a\uff0cAurora \u7684\u6027\u80fd\u90fd\u4f18\u4e8e\u73b0\u884c\u7684 GraphCast \u548c HRES\u3002\u5728\u6bcf\u5e45\u56fe\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7ebf\u53f3\u4fa7\u7684\u503c\u4ee3\u8868\u9ad8\u4e8e\u9608\u503c\u7684\u7d2f\u79ef\u5747\u65b9\u6839\u8bef\u5dee\uff0c\u5de6\u4fa7\u7684\u503c\u8868\u793a\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9608\u503c\u7684\u7d2f\u79ef\u5747\u65b9\u6839\u8bef\u5dee\u3002<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"\u5730\u7403\u7cfb\u7edf\u5efa\u6a21\u7684\u8303\u5f0f\u8f6c\u53d8\">\u5730\u7403\u7cfb\u7edf\u5efa\u6a21\u7684\u8303\u5f0f\u8f6c\u53d8<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Aurora \u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u8fdc\u4e0d\u6b62\u4e8e\u5927\u6c14\u9884\u62a5\u9886\u57df\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u5c55\u793a\u57fa\u7840\u6a21\u578b\u5728\u5730\u7403\u79d1\u5b66\u4e2d\u7684\u6f5c\u529b\uff0c\u8be5\u7814\u7a76\u4e3a\u5f00\u53d1\u8986\u76d6\u6574\u4e2a\u5730\u7403\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u7efc\u5408\u6a21\u578b\u5960\u5b9a\u4e86\u57fa\u7840\u3002\u57fa\u7840\u6a21\u578b\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u6570\u636e\u7a00\u7f3a\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u51fa\u8272\u5730\u5b8c\u6210\u4e0b\u6e38\u4efb\u52a1\uff0c\u6709\u671b\u4f7f\u5f97\u5728\u6570\u636e\u7a00\u7f3a\u5730\u533a\uff08\u4f8b\u5982\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u548c\u6781\u5730\u5730\u533a\uff09\u7684\u6c11\u4f17\u4e5f\u80fd\u591f\u66f4\u52a0\u5e73\u7b49\u5730\u83b7\u53d6\u51c6\u786e\u7684\u5929\u6c14\u548c\u6c14\u5019\u4fe1\u606f\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u8fdb\u5c55\u4e5f\u5c06\u5bf9\u519c\u4e1a\u3001\u4ea4\u901a\u3001\u80fd\u6e90\u5f00\u53d1\u4ee5\u53ca\u707e\u5bb3\u5e94\u5bf9\u7b49\u591a\u4e2a\u9886\u57df\u4ea7\u751f\u6df1\u8fdc\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u8ba9\u4eba\u4eec\u80fd\u591f\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u9002\u5e94\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u6311\u6218\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u968f\u7740\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u5728\u73af\u5883\u9884\u6d4b\u9886\u57df\u7684\u4e0d\u65ad\u8fdb\u6b65\uff0c\u5fae\u8f6f\u7814\u7a76\u9662\u5e0c\u671b Aurora \u80fd\u591f\u6210\u4e3a\u672a\u6765\u7814\u7a76\u548c\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u65b0\u8303\u5f0f\u3002\u8be5\u7814\u7a76\u5f3a\u8c03\u4e86\u591a\u6837\u5316\u9884\u8bad\u7ec3\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u3001\u6a21\u578b\u6269\u5c55\u548c\u7075\u6d3b\u67b6\u6784\u5728\u6784\u5efa\u5730\u7403\u79d1\u5b66\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u6a21\u578b\u65f6\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u3002\u968f\u7740\u8ba1\u7b97\u8d44\u6e90\u548c\u6570\u636e\u53ef\u7528\u6027\u7684\u4e0d\u65ad\u8fdb\u6b65\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u9884\u89c1\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u50cf Aurora \u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u6a21\u578b\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u5929\u6c14\u548c\u6c14\u5019\u9886\u57df\u9884\u6d4b\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\uff0c\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u548c\u516c\u4f17\u63d0\u4f9b\u53ca\u65f6\u3001\u51c6\u786e\u548c\u53ef\u64cd\u4f5c\u7684\u6d1e\u89c1\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u7f16\u8005\u6309\uff1a\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u65e5\u76ca\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u9ad8\u6e29\u3001\u6d2a\u6c34\u3001\u5e72\u65f1\uff0c\u9891\u7387\u548c\u5f3a\u5ea6\u4e0d\u65ad\u589e\u52a0\u7684\u5168\u7403\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u7ed9\u6574\u4e2a\u4eba\u7c7b\u793e\u4f1a\u90fd\u5e26\u6765\u4e86\u96be\u4ee5\u4f30\u8ba1\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u8fd9\u7ed9\u73b0\u6709\u7684\u5929\u6c14\u9884\u6d4b\u6a21\u578b\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u8981\u6c42\u2014\u2014\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6a21\u578b\u8981\u66f4\u51c6\u786e\u5730\u9884\u6d4b\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u4e3a\u653f\u5e9c\u3001\u4f01\u4e1a\u548c\u516c\u4f17\u63d0\u4f9b\u66f4\u53ef\u9760\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fbf\u505a\u51fa\u53ca\u65f6\u7684\u51c6\u5907\u548c\u54cd\u5e94\u3002\u4e3a\u4e86\u5e94\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e00\u6311\u6218\uff0c\u5fae\u8f6f\u7814\u7a76\u9662\u5f00\u53d1\u4e86\u9996\u4e2a\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u5927\u6c14\u57fa\u7840\u6a21\u578b Aurora\uff0c\u5176\u8d85\u9ad8\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u51c6\u786e\u7387\u3001\u6548\u7387\u53ca\u8ba1\u7b97\u901f\u5ea6\uff0c\u5b9e\u73b0\u4e86\u76ee\u524d\u6700\u5148\u8fdb\u5929\u6c14\u9884\u6d4b\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u80fd\u7684\u663e\u8457\u63d0\u5347\u3002Aurora \u4e0d\u4ec5\u5728\u9884\u6d4b\u6280\u672f\u4e0a\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u91cd\u5927\u7a81\u7834\uff0c\u66f4\u5728\u5e94\u7528\u5c42\u9762\u5c55\u73b0\u51fa\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u6f5c\u529b\u3002 2023\u5e7411\u6708\uff0c\u98ce\u66b4\u201c\u590f\u5170\u201d\u5e2d\u5377\u4e86\u6b27\u6d32\u897f\u5317\u90e8\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u4e86\u4e25\u91cd\u7834\u574f\uff0c\u4f34\u968f\u800c\u6765\u7684\u4f4e\u538b\u7cfb\u7edf\u5237\u65b0\u4e86\u82f1\u683c\u5170\u7684\u8bb0\u5f55\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u6781\u4e3a\u7f55\u89c1\u7684\u6c14\u8c61\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002\u8fd9\u573a\u98ce\u66b4\u7684\u731b\u70c8\u7a0b\u5ea6\u8ba9\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\u63aa\u624b\u4e0d\u53ca\uff0c\u5728\u66b4\u9732\u5f53\u524d\u5929\u6c14\u9884\u6d4b\u6a21\u578b\u4e0d\u8db3\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4e5f\u51f8\u663e\u4e86\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u65e5\u76ca\u52a0\u5267\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u63d0\u5347\u6c14\u5019\u9884\u6d4b\u51c6\u786e\u6027\u7684\u8feb\u5207\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5982\u4f55\u624d\u80fd\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u9884\u6d4b\u6b64\u7c7b\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u5e76\u505a\u597d\u66f4\u4e3a\u5145\u5206\u7684\u51c6\u5907\uff1f Charlton-Perez \u7b49\u4eba\uff082024\u5e74\uff09\u8fd1\u671f\u7684\u4e00\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf\u662f\u76ee\u524d\u6700\u5148\u8fdb\u7684\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u5929\u6c14\u9884\u6d4b\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5728\u51c6\u786e\u6355\u6349\u98ce\u66b4\u201c\u590f\u5170\u201d\u7684\u5feb\u901f\u589e\u5f3a\u8fc7\u7a0b\u53ca\u5176\u5cf0\u503c\u98ce\u901f\u65b9\u9762\u4e5f\u9762\u4e34\u7740\u6311\u6218\u3002\u4e3a\u5e94\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6311\u6218\uff0c\u5fae\u8f6f\u7814\u7a76\u9662\u5f00\u53d1\u4e86\u5148\u8fdb\u7684\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u57fa\u7840\u6a21\u578b Aurora\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u4ece\u6d77\u91cf\u7684\u5927\u6c14\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u6d1e\u5bdf\u5230\u6709\u4ef7\u503c\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u3002Aurora \u6240\u5c55\u793a\u51fa\u7684\u521b\u65b0\u5929\u6c14\u9884\u6d4b\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u6709\u671b\u663e\u8457\u63d0\u5347\u4eba\u4eec\u9884\u6d4b\u5e76\u51cf\u8f7b\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u4e8b\u4ef6\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5bf9\u98ce\u66b4\u201c\u590f\u5170\u201d\u8fd9\u7c7b\u6076\u52a3\u5929\u6c14\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u6025\u5267\u6076\u5316\u8fdb\u884c\u9884\u6d4b\u3002 Aurora \u8bba\u6587\uff1aAurora: A Foundation Model of the Atmosphere Aurora \u7684\u6709\u6548\u6027\u5728\u4e8e\u5b83\u7ecf\u8fc7\u4e86\u8d85\u4e00\u767e\u4e07\u5c0f\u65f6\u7684\u591a\u6837\u5316\u5929\u6c14\u548c\u6c14\u5019\u6a21\u62df\u7684\u8bad\u7ec3\uff0c\u80fd\u591f\u5168\u9762\u4e86\u89e3\u5927\u6c14\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u3002\u8fd9\u4f7f\u5f97\u8be5\u6a21\u578b\u5728\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u4efb\u52a1\u4e2d\u90fd\u8868\u73b0\u51fa\u8272\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u5728\u6570\u636e\u7a00\u758f\u7684\u5730\u533a\u6216\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u4e5f\u80fd\u5982\u6b64\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u4ee50.1\u00b0\uff08\u8d64\u9053\u5904\u7ea611\u516c\u91cc\uff09\u7684\u9ad8\u7a7a\u95f4\u5206\u8fa8\u7387\u8fd0\u884c\uff0cAurora \u53ef\u4ee5\u6355\u6349\u5927\u6c14\u8fc7\u7a0b\u7684\u590d\u6742\u7ec6\u8282\uff0c\u63d0\u4f9b\u6bd4\u4ee5\u5f80\u66f4\u51c6\u786e\u7684\u9884\u62a5\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u5176\u8ba1\u7b97\u6210\u672c\u4ec5\u4e3a\u4f20\u7edf\u6570\u503c\u5929\u6c14\u9884\u62a5\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u4e00\u5c0f\u90e8\u5206\u3002\u636e\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0cAurora \u76f8\u8f83\u4e8e\u6700\u5148\u8fdb\u7684\u6570\u503c\u9884\u62a5\u7cfb\u7edf\uff08Integrated Forecasting System, IFS\uff09\u53ef\u63d0\u5347\u7ea65000\u500d\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u901f\u5ea6\u3002 Aurora \u4e0d\u4ec5\u62e5\u6709\u6781\u9ad8\u7684\u9884\u62a5\u51c6\u786e\u6027\u548c\u6548\u7387\uff0c\u8fd8\u5177\u6709\u591a\u529f\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u9884\u6d4b\u5404\u79cd\u5927\u6c14\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c\u4ece\u6e29\u5ea6\u548c\u98ce\u901f\u5230\u7a7a\u6c14\u6c61\u67d3\u6c34\u5e73\u548c\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6d53\u5ea6\u3002Aurora \u7684\u67b6\u6784\u65e8\u5728\u5904\u7406\u5f02\u6784\u7684\u9ec4\u91d1\u6807\u51c6\u8f93\u5165\uff0c\u5e76\u4ee5\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u5206\u8fa8\u7387\u548c\u4fdd\u771f\u5ea6\u751f\u6210\u9884\u6d4b\u3002\u8be5\u6a21\u578b\u7531\u4e00\u4e2a\u7075\u6d3b\u7684 3D Swin Transformer \u548c\u57fa\u4e8e Perceiver \u7684\u7f16\u7801\u5668\u548c\u89e3\u7801\u5668\u7ec4\u6210\uff0c\u4f7f\u5176\u80fd\u591f\u5904\u7406\u548c\u9884\u6d4b\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u8de8\u7a7a\u95f4\u548c\u538b\u529b\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u5927\u6c14\u53d8\u91cf\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u5bf9\u5927\u91cf\u591a\u6837\u5316\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u884c\u9884\u8bad\u7ec3\u5e76\u9488\u5bf9\u7279\u5b9a\u4efb\u52a1\u8fdb\u884c\u5fae\u8c03\uff0cAurora \u5b66\u4f1a\u4e86\u6355\u6349\u5927\u6c14\u4e2d\u7684\u590d\u6742\u6a21\u5f0f\u548c\u7ed3\u6784\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u5728\u6709\u9650\u7684\u8bad\u7ec3\u6570\u636e\u4e0b\u5bf9\u7279\u5b9a\u4efb\u52a1\u8fdb\u884c\u5fae\u8c03\u65f6\uff0c\u5b83\u4ecd\u7136\u80fd\u6709\u51fa\u8272\u7684\u8868\u73b0\u3002 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