{"id":946512,"date":"2023-06-07T09:48:46","date_gmt":"2023-06-07T16:48:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/?post_type=msr-research-item&#038;p=946512"},"modified":"2023-06-08T11:28:30","modified_gmt":"2023-06-08T18:28:30","slug":"statistical-learning-under-heterogenous-distribution-shift","status":"publish","type":"msr-research-item","link":"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/publication\/statistical-learning-under-heterogenous-distribution-shift\/","title":{"rendered":"Statistical Learning under Heterogenous Distribution Shift"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>This paper studies the prediction of a target\u00a0<span id=\"MathJax-Element-1-Frame\" class=\"MathJax\" tabindex=\"0\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-1\" class=\"math\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-2\" class=\"mrow\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-3\" class=\"texatom\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-4\" class=\"mrow\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-5\" class=\"mi\">z<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span>\u00a0from a pair of random variables\u00a0<span id=\"MathJax-Element-2-Frame\" class=\"MathJax\" tabindex=\"0\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-6\" class=\"math\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-7\" class=\"mrow\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-8\" class=\"mo\">(<\/span><strong><span id=\"MathJax-Span-9\" class=\"texatom\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-10\" class=\"mrow\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-11\" class=\"mi\">x<\/span><\/span><\/span><span id=\"MathJax-Span-12\" class=\"mo\">,<\/span><span id=\"MathJax-Span-13\" class=\"texatom\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-14\" class=\"mrow\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-15\" class=\"mi\">y<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><span id=\"MathJax-Span-16\" class=\"mo\">)<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span>, where the ground-truth predictor is additive\u00a0<span id=\"MathJax-Element-3-Frame\" class=\"MathJax\" tabindex=\"0\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-17\" class=\"math\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-18\" class=\"mrow\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-19\" class=\"texatom\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-20\" class=\"mrow\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-21\" class=\"mi\">E<\/span><\/span><\/span><span id=\"MathJax-Span-22\" class=\"mo\">[<\/span><span id=\"MathJax-Span-23\" class=\"texatom\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-24\" class=\"mrow\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-25\" class=\"mi\">z<\/span><\/span><\/span><span id=\"MathJax-Span-26\" class=\"mo\">\u2223<\/span><strong><span id=\"MathJax-Span-27\" class=\"texatom\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-28\" class=\"mrow\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-29\" class=\"mi\">x<\/span><\/span><\/span><span id=\"MathJax-Span-30\" class=\"mo\">,<\/span><span id=\"MathJax-Span-31\" class=\"texatom\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-32\" class=\"mrow\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-33\" class=\"mi\">y<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><span id=\"MathJax-Span-34\" class=\"mo\">]<\/span><span id=\"MathJax-Span-35\" class=\"mo\">=<\/span><span id=\"MathJax-Span-36\" class=\"msubsup\"><em><span id=\"MathJax-Span-37\" class=\"mi\">f<\/span><\/em><span id=\"MathJax-Span-38\" class=\"mo\">\u22c6<\/span><\/span><span id=\"MathJax-Span-39\" class=\"mo\">(<\/span><strong><span id=\"MathJax-Span-40\" class=\"texatom\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-41\" class=\"mrow\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-42\" class=\"mi\">x<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><span id=\"MathJax-Span-43\" class=\"mo\">)<\/span><span id=\"MathJax-Span-44\" class=\"mo\">+<\/span><span id=\"MathJax-Span-45\" class=\"msubsup\"><em><span id=\"MathJax-Span-46\" class=\"mi\">g<\/span><\/em><span id=\"MathJax-Span-47\" class=\"texatom\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-48\" class=\"mrow\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-49\" class=\"mo\">\u22c6<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><span id=\"MathJax-Span-50\" class=\"mo\">(<\/span><strong><span id=\"MathJax-Span-51\" class=\"texatom\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-52\" class=\"mrow\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-53\" class=\"mi\">y<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><span id=\"MathJax-Span-54\" class=\"mo\">)<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span>. We study the performance of empirical risk minimization (ERM) over functions\u00a0<span id=\"MathJax-Element-4-Frame\" class=\"MathJax\" tabindex=\"0\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-55\" class=\"math\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-56\" class=\"mrow\"><em><span id=\"MathJax-Span-57\" class=\"mi\">f<\/span><\/em><span id=\"MathJax-Span-58\" class=\"mo\">+<\/span><em><span id=\"MathJax-Span-59\" class=\"mi\">g<\/span><\/em><\/span><\/span><\/span>,\u00a0<span id=\"MathJax-Element-5-Frame\" class=\"MathJax\" tabindex=\"0\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-60\" class=\"math\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-61\" class=\"mrow\"><em><span id=\"MathJax-Span-62\" class=\"mi\">f<\/span><\/em><span id=\"MathJax-Span-63\" class=\"mo\">\u2208<\/span><em><span id=\"MathJax-Span-64\" class=\"texatom\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-65\" class=\"mrow\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-66\" class=\"mi\">F<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/em><\/span><\/span><\/span>\u00a0and\u00a0<span id=\"MathJax-Element-6-Frame\" class=\"MathJax\" tabindex=\"0\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-67\" class=\"math\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-68\" class=\"mrow\"><em><span id=\"MathJax-Span-69\" class=\"mi\">g<\/span><\/em><span id=\"MathJax-Span-70\" class=\"mo\">\u2208<\/span><em><span id=\"MathJax-Span-71\" class=\"texatom\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-72\" class=\"mrow\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-73\" class=\"mi\">G<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/em><\/span><\/span><\/span>, fit on a given training distribution, but evaluated on a test distribution which exhibits covariate shift. We show that, when the class\u00a0<em><span id=\"MathJax-Element-7-Frame\" class=\"MathJax\" tabindex=\"0\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-74\" class=\"math\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-75\" class=\"mrow\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-76\" class=\"texatom\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-77\" class=\"mrow\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-78\" class=\"mi\">F<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/em>\u00a0is &#8220;simpler&#8221; than\u00a0<em><span id=\"MathJax-Element-8-Frame\" class=\"MathJax\" tabindex=\"0\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-79\" class=\"math\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-80\" class=\"mrow\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-81\" class=\"texatom\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-82\" class=\"mrow\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-83\" class=\"mi\">G<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/em>\u00a0(measured, e.g., in terms of its metric entropy), our predictor is more resilient to \\emph{heterogenous covariate shifts} in which the shift in\u00a0<strong><span id=\"MathJax-Element-9-Frame\" class=\"MathJax\" tabindex=\"0\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-84\" class=\"math\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-85\" class=\"mrow\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-86\" class=\"texatom\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-87\" class=\"mrow\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-88\" class=\"mi\">x<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u00a0is much greater than that in\u00a0<strong><span id=\"MathJax-Element-10-Frame\" class=\"MathJax\" tabindex=\"0\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-89\" class=\"math\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-90\" class=\"mrow\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-91\" class=\"texatom\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-92\" class=\"mrow\"><span id=\"MathJax-Span-93\" class=\"mi\">y<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong>. These results rely on a novel H\u00f6lder style inequality for the Dudley integral which may be of independent interest. Moreover, we corroborate our theoretical findings with experiments demonstrating improved resilience to shifts in &#8220;simpler&#8221; features across numerous domains.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This paper studies the prediction of a target\u00a0z\u00a0from a pair of random variables\u00a0(x,y), where the ground-truth predictor is additive\u00a0E[z\u2223x,y]=f\u22c6(x)+g\u22c6(y). We study the performance of empirical risk minimization (ERM) over functions\u00a0f+g,\u00a0f\u2208F\u00a0and\u00a0g\u2208G, fit on a given training distribution, but evaluated on a test distribution which exhibits covariate shift. We show that, when the class\u00a0F\u00a0is &#8220;simpler&#8221; than\u00a0G\u00a0(measured, e.g., [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","meta":{"msr-url-field":"","msr-podcast-episode":"","msrModifiedDate":"","msrModifiedDateEnabled":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"_classifai_error":"","msr-author-ordering":null,"msr_publishername":"","msr_publisher_other":"","msr_booktitle":"","msr_chapter":"","msr_edition":"","msr_editors":"","msr_how_published":"","msr_isbn":"","msr_issue":"","msr_journal":"","msr_number":"","msr_organization":"","msr_pages_string":"","msr_page_range_start":"","msr_page_range_end":"","msr_series":"","msr_volume":"","msr_copyright":"","msr_conference_name":"ICML 2023","msr_doi":"","msr_arxiv_id":"","msr_s2_paper_id":"","msr_mag_id":"","msr_pubmed_id":"","msr_other_authors":"","msr_other_contributors":"","msr_speaker":"","msr_award":"","msr_affiliation":"","msr_institution":"","msr_host":"","msr_version":"","msr_duration":"","msr_original_fields_of_study":"","msr_release_tracker_id":"","msr_s2_match_type":"","msr_citation_count_updated":"","msr_published_date":"2023-2-27","msr_highlight_text":"","msr_notes":"","msr_longbiography":"","msr_publicationurl":"","msr_external_url":"","msr_secondary_video_url":"","msr_conference_url":"https:\/\/icml.cc\/Conferences\/2023","msr_journal_url":"","msr_s2_pdf_url":"","msr_year":0,"msr_citation_count":0,"msr_influential_citations":0,"msr_reference_count":0,"msr_s2_match_confidence":0,"msr_microsoftintellectualproperty":true,"msr_s2_open_access":false,"msr_s2_author_ids":[],"msr_pub_ids":[],"msr_hide_image_in_river":0,"footnotes":""},"msr-research-highlight":[],"research-area":[13556],"msr-publication-type":[193716],"msr-publisher":[],"msr-focus-area":[],"msr-locale":[268875],"msr-post-option":[],"msr-field-of-study":[246685],"msr-conference":[260284],"msr-journal":[],"msr-impact-theme":[],"msr-pillar":[],"class_list":["post-946512","msr-research-item","type-msr-research-item","status-publish","hentry","msr-research-area-artificial-intelligence","msr-locale-en_us","msr-field-of-study-machine-learning"],"msr_publishername":"","msr_edition":"","msr_affiliation":"","msr_published_date":"2023-2-27","msr_host":"","msr_duration":"","msr_version":"","msr_speaker":"","msr_other_contributors":"","msr_booktitle":"","msr_pages_string":"","msr_chapter":"","msr_isbn":"","msr_journal":"","msr_volume":"","msr_number":"","msr_editors":"","msr_series":"","msr_issue":"","msr_organization":"","msr_how_published":"","msr_notes":"","msr_highlight_text":"","msr_release_tracker_id":"","msr_original_fields_of_study":"","msr_download_urls":"","msr_external_url":"","msr_secondary_video_url":"","msr_longbiography":"","msr_microsoftintellectualproperty":1,"msr_main_download":"","msr_publicationurl":"","msr_doi":"","msr_publication_uploader":[{"type":"url","viewUrl":"false","id":"false","title":"https:\/\/arxiv.org\/abs\/2302.13934","label_id":"243109","label":0}],"msr_related_uploader":"","msr_citation_count":0,"msr_citation_count_updated":"","msr_s2_paper_id":"","msr_influential_citations":0,"msr_reference_count":0,"msr_arxiv_id":"","msr_s2_author_ids":[],"msr_s2_open_access":false,"msr_s2_pdf_url":null,"msr_attachments":[],"msr-author-ordering":[{"type":"text","value":"Max Simchowitz","user_id":0,"rest_url":false},{"type":"text","value":"Anurag Ajay","user_id":0,"rest_url":false},{"type":"text","value":"Pulkit Agrawal","user_id":0,"rest_url":false},{"type":"user_nicename","value":"Akshay Krishnamurthy","user_id":30913,"rest_url":"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/microsoft-research\/v1\/researchers?person=Akshay Krishnamurthy"}],"msr_impact_theme":[],"msr_research_lab":[],"msr_event":[945816],"msr_group":[144902],"msr_project":[],"publication":[],"video":[],"msr-tool":[],"msr_publication_type":"inproceedings","related_content":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-research-item\/946512","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-research-item"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/msr-research-item"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-research-item\/946512\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":946521,"href":"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-research-item\/946512\/revisions\/946521"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=946512"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"msr-research-highlight","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-research-highlight?post=946512"},{"taxonomy":"msr-research-area","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/research-area?post=946512"},{"taxonomy":"msr-publication-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-publication-type?post=946512"},{"taxonomy":"msr-publisher","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-publisher?post=946512"},{"taxonomy":"msr-focus-area","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-focus-area?post=946512"},{"taxonomy":"msr-locale","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-locale?post=946512"},{"taxonomy":"msr-post-option","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-post-option?post=946512"},{"taxonomy":"msr-field-of-study","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-field-of-study?post=946512"},{"taxonomy":"msr-conference","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-conference?post=946512"},{"taxonomy":"msr-journal","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-journal?post=946512"},{"taxonomy":"msr-impact-theme","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-impact-theme?post=946512"},{"taxonomy":"msr-pillar","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newed.any0.dpdns.org\/en-us\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/msr-pillar?post=946512"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}